Lewis Hamilton, Ferrari, Monaco, 2025

Lando Norris hasn’t had a pole position or a grand prix victory since the season-opening race in Australia.

He’s back at the sharp end of the grid for the Monaco Grand Prix – but a rules change means that may not prove the ticket to victory it has in the past.

Here’s your strategy dashboard for Sunday’s 78 laps of Monte-Carlo.

Weather

The warm and dry conditions in Monaco are expected to remain for another day. However Sunday will be somewhat cloudier, which may help keep track temperatures down.

Start

The run to the first corner in Monaco is short, narrow and curved. The pole-winner has a very good chance of making it to turn one in the lead.

Distance from pole position to first braking zone. Source: Mercedes

Assuming that happens, how Lando Norris chooses to position his car could have a significant bearing on who emerges in second place. He has Charles Leclerc alongside him on the outside and team mate Oscar Piastri immediately behind him in third place.

Last year Piastri started on the outside and had to fend off a bold attack from Carlos Sainz Jnr, which left the Ferrari driver with a puncture. This year Piastri’s best chance of getting past Leclerc could come at the start.

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Start, Monaco, 2024

Strategy

Teams will have to rethink their tactics for the race as Formula 1 has introduced new regulations for the Monaco Grand Prix requiring them to use three sets of tyres instead of the usual two. The full details of the rule changes, the effects they could have on strategy and the possibility teams may exploit the new rules were covered in detail here earlier:

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Last year drivers chose the following compounds to start the race on:

Pos.DriverTeamTyre compound
1Charles LeclercFerrariMedium
2Oscar PiastriMcLaren-MercedesMedium
3Carlos Sainz JnrFerrariMedium
4Lando NorrisMcLaren-MercedesMedium
5George RussellMercedesHard
6Max VerstappenRed Bull-Honda RBPTHard
7Lewis HamiltonMercedesHard
8Yuki TsunodaRB-Honda RBPTMedium
9Alexander AlbonWilliams-MercedesMedium
10Pierre GaslyAlpine-RenaultHard
11Esteban OconAlpine-RenaultHard
12Daniel RicciardoRB-Honda RBPTMedium
13Lance StrollAston Martin-MercedesHard
14Fernando AlonsoAston Martin-MercedesHard
15Logan SargeantWilliams-MercedesHard
16Sergio PerezRed Bull-Honda RBPTHard
17Valtteri BottasSauber-FerrariHard
18Zhou GuanyuSauber-FerrariMedium
19Nico HulkenbergHaas-FerrariMedium
20Kevin MagnussenHaas-FerrariHard

The drivers have the following sets of dry weather tyres available for the grand prix:

Tyres available for the raceHardMediumSoft
DriverNewUsedNewUsedNewUsed
Lando Norris201003
Charles Leclerc101103
Oscar Piastri201003
Lewis Hamilton110103
Max Verstappen101004
Isack Hadjar011004
Fernando Alonso020103
Esteban Ocon101103
Liam Lawson011004
Alexander Albon100203
Carlos Sainz Jnr101113
Yuki Tsunoda101014
Nico Hulkenberg101014
George Russell201121
Andrea Kimi Antonelli202012
Gabriel Bortoleto101032
Oliver Bearman102022
Pierre Gasly101131
Lance Stroll020122
Franco Colapinto101131

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Overtaking

Passing is, of course, extremely difficult in Monaco. The new rules introduced for this year may lead to more situations where we see drivers on fresh tyres being held up by rivals tactically reducing their speed to help a team mate. But as we’ve seen many times in the past, drivers can lap far below the maximum pace in Monaco without any danger of being passed.

The stewards have already dished out one penalty point for a collision this weekend.

Speed trap

P.#DriverCarEngineModelMax kph (mph)
123Alexander AlbonWilliamsMercedesFW47282.8 (175.7)
216Charles LeclercFerrariFerrariSF-25282.7 (175.7)
327Nico HulkenbergSauberFerrariC45282.7 (175.7)
444Lewis HamiltonFerrariFerrariSF-25282.7 (175.7)
563George RussellMercedesMercedesW16282.2 (175.4)
631Esteban OconHaasFerrariVF-25282.1 (175.3)
787Oliver BearmanHaasFerrariVF-25281.9 (175.2)
818Lance StrollAston MartinMercedesAMR25281.9 (175.2)
981Oscar PiastriMcLarenMercedesMCL39281.6 (175.0)
1012Andrea Kimi AntonelliMercedesMercedesW16281.6 (175.0)
1130Liam LawsonRacing BullsHonda RBPT02281.5 (174.9)
1210Pierre GaslyAlpineRenaultA525281.4 (174.9)
1314Fernando AlonsoAston MartinMercedesAMR25281.3 (174.8)
146Isack HadjarRacing BullsHonda RBPT02281.1 (174.7)
154Lando NorrisMcLarenMercedesMCL39280.7 (174.4)
1622Yuki TsunodaRed BullHonda RBPTRB21280.7 (174.4)
171Max VerstappenRed BullHonda RBPTRB21280.6 (174.4)
185Gabriel BortoletoSauberFerrariC45280.3 (174.2)
1955Carlos Sainz JnrWilliamsMercedesFW47280.1 (174.0)
2043Franco ColapintoAlpineRenaultA525279.9 (173.9)

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Safety Cars

The possibility of a Safety Car, Virtual Safety Car or red flag in the race could have a significant bearing on the race, as many teams will be holding out for one in the hope of making a low-cost pit stop.

Last year a first-lap red flag allowed every driver to complete their mandatory tyre change immediately. But with two tyre changes now required, it would take two red flags to achieve that.

Grid

The grid for this year’s race is as follows. Any changes between now and the start of the race will be added here:

Championship implications

If the drivers finish where they start, Norris will slash Piastri’s points lead from 13 points to just three. Fernando Alonso and Liam Lawson are also poised to claim their first points of the season.

Over to you

How do you think teams will handle the unique rules for this weekend’s race? Share your views on the Monaco Grand Prix in the comments.

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